Gary Null and Jeremy Stillman – SOLAR FLARES ARE COMING: How Prepared Are YOU to Survive?
An Investigative Report by Gary Null, PhD and Jeremy Stillman
Solar Storms: Katrina Times 1,000?
A Real Armageddon is Possible but Not Inevitable
An Investigative Report by Gary Null, PhD and Jeremy Stillman
In the five days leading up to Hurricane Katrina making its landfall, I issued a warning on my radio show advising the residents of the Gulf coast to evacuate their homes. I encouraged them to pack their valuables, leave their homes behind and head at least 50 to 100 miles North by bus, train, car, bicycle or even walking, as I realized that many people had no means of transportation. I also challenged the Army Corps of Engineers on the safety of the old and deteriorating levees located throughout New Orleans. However, approximately 80% of the people remained as they were told by local authorities that the levees would hold and they would survive.
Katrina struck Louisiana on August 29, 2005 as a Category 3 hurricane, and began its path of utter devastation that left thousands of people dead and tens of thousands homeless. On a trip to New Orleans’ Lower Ninth Ward district shortly after Katrina hit, I witnessed hundreds of homes that were inundated after nearby levees were breached during the storm. I saw holes in roofs that people had created to escape the deluge that caused the water line to reach 9 feet or higher. Five minutes away in an upscale neighborhood, the flooding was equally as overwhelming. New Orleans had become the portrait of a disaster zone.
On a recent return trip to the Ninth Ward neighborhood, I discovered that the area looked nearly the same as it did in 2005. The terrible damage that persists to this day is a testament to the late and inadequate response by local, state and federal authorities to come to the aid of United States citizens.
More than ever, we are facing unprecedented environmental disasters ranging from harsh winters pounding the Northeast, desiccating drought across the Southwest, powerful tornadoes demolishing towns in Arkansas, Missouri, Alabama, and other areas of the Midwest and record rainfall and flooding throughout the United States. Over the course just of one week last summer, the East Coast experienced an earthquake and hurricane.
This trend of environmental events has become the new norm and it has coincided with our country coming down with a bad case of” Waiting for Katrina Syndrome” – a condition in which people refuse to examine the power of nature to disrupt their lives. Symptoms include ignorance and apathy over measures that could be taken to prevent calamity and unconditional acceptance of the outright lies and propaganda doled out by government and corporate leaders.
We have learned little since Katrina. Our decrepit water and gas systems, some of which have been around for 80 years, need to be replaced. Many of our roads, bridges and tunnels and levees are in a state of disrepair. We have not taken the crucial step of constructing emergency facilities in our cities and towns. Besides putting many people to work, building these facilities would provide some semblance of civility during a time of crisis. People would be able to take refuge and have access to medical clinics and food banks. The current response network that relies on the Red Cross, FEMA and the National Guard during times of crisis is dangerously inadequate.
Now imagine that something could dwarf all of this; something that could kill tens of millions of Americans and cause at least half of America to experience life as if they were living in a Mad Max film. Imagine that a gigantic mass of plasma, or coronal mass ejection, is released from the sun and heads directly for the Earth. Even though we have been assured that we can withstand such an event, the power of the solar emission overwhelms our electric grids and fries our power substations, rendering many of them beyond repair. Many of our communications satellites are also severely damaged during the solar event and are unable to function. We are not told what has happened. When we pick up our phones, there is no dial tone. When we turn on the radio, we hear nothing. We head out to the street to ask our neighbors what has happened, but nobody seems to know. The first inconvenience we notice is that our air conditioning is not working during the stifling heat of a warm summer day. Or worse still, our heat has been cut off as temperatures drop below freezing in the wintertime.
We return to our houses and wait. We realize that the freezer is defrosting and our food will soon spoil. We turn on the water faucet but nothing comes out. In suburbia, people aren’t able to fill their cars at gas stations so they head the stores on foot, stocking up on batteries, candles and nonperishable food. The first night comes and goes.
On day two, people begin to worry as the backup generators that were keeping power online at hospitals and other civic buildings begin to fail. Members of FEMA and the National Guard appear in neighborhoods and people form long lines to receive what little water is available. Other people pack up their cars and head out of town only to find that the highways are bumper to bumper with vehicles that have run out of gas.
On day three, gangs and individuals start to take over neighborhoods as they break into homes and seize whatever food and water they can get their hands on. Any cash, gold or silver they can steal is a bonus. People are becoming very thirsty and while no one is starving just yet, many begin to worriedly search for non-perishable food wherever they can find it.
By day five, panic begins to ensue. Thousands of people are dying in hospitals. Banks and pharmacies have been closed for nearly a week and people aren’t able to make credit card transactions or get their prescription medications. People are stuck in elevators and are unable to get out. Some are stuck in buildings that have electronic locks on the doors. The limited FEMA water tanks that were available are beginning to run out of water and federal authorities say that they are overwhelmed by the 20 million people in the tri-state area alone who are reaching a point of desperation. The wealthy individuals living on Sutton Place and Park Avenue are even worse off as they are preyed upon by swarms of gangs. Some police have abandoned their positions as they choose to protect the safety of their families first. Those in possession of firearms do their best to protect their homes and families.
By day ten, those who did not have adequate water stores are suffering from serious dehydration which is claiming the lives of thousands daily. Additionally, people are drinking contaminated water that is causing dysentery and cholera. There is no toilet that flushes and human excrement is everywhere. People are left to scavenge just to survive. The law enforcement that still exists is now protecting itself and the power elite. The mayor and governor are doing fine as FEMA works to ensure they are well taken care of. Millions of people are frantic and helplessly unprepared as society descends into a state of lawlessness.
Then the really bad news starts. We come face to face with the truth of our hubris and political choices. No one chose to bury a year’s worth of diesel fuel tanks at New York’s Indian Point nuclear plant so that, in case the electric grid failed, the facility could still operate its own cooling system. Nor did anyone make the decision to put technology in place that would allow Indian Point and the other 103 nuclear facilities across the country to function as a self-sustaining, closed loop system that could continue to function independent of the electrical grid.
The workers at Indian Point understand the crisis at hand and know that when the final backup generator ceases to function, it will only be a few days or less before the water used to cool the spent fuel rods evaporates completely. They realize that without the water in place, the highly radioactive spent fuel rods are at risk to explode into another Fukushima.
No one will hear or see the explosion at Indian Point, but with the wind traveling at 12 mph, 20 million people located downwind in New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania will get their first wave of radiation within 8 to 12 hours. A wave that will continue 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, exposing every drop of water and inch of soil, every home, building and car and most importantly, every person’s body with a barrage of radioactive substances such as plutonium and tritium; for many it will be lethal.
Within four weeks we will see millions of people, young and old, dying en masse. There will be no help or medicine and people will become hysterical. As word spreads that a nuclear power plant exploded, people will begin to flee on foot. The few cars that do have fuel will be commandeered as desperate people try to escape. But where to go and how far before you are out of harm’s way and out of gasoline? Wherever the wind blows is where the radiation will go.
We will see the beginning of an apocalypse where those 20 million people are joined by millions more who take on huge amounts of ionizing radiation. It will be Chernobyl- an unmitigated catastrophe that claimed the lives of 1 million people-multiplied by 100. That’s because Indian Point will not be the only nuclear plant affected; the nuclear facilities in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida and elsewhere also had explosions.
This scene is the result of the entire power industry thinking with one mind. Though they understood the potential of the problem, they downplayed its ultimate impact and up until the last moment, they continued to challenge public health advocates who called for the installation of surge protectors and putting evacuation plans in place. The industry ridiculed these individuals as fear mongers. They even doubled down stating with certainty that, whatever happened during a solar storm, they were more than prepared to continue providing power.
But in the end, nature wins. Up to 50 million Americans are dying without fuel, running water, or food while huge quantities of radiation saturate the environment. And as people pass by Washington DC and Philadelphia and Atlanta – places that also had exploding nuclear power plants- they can turn to Barack Obama and say thank you. They can say thank you to George W. Bush and his father as well as Bill Clinton, Ronald Reagan, Jimmy Carter, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and all the pro-nuke scientists and politicians including John McCain and John Kerry. They can say thanks to all the media pundits like Bill O’Reilly, Glenn Beck, Michael Savage and Mark Levin. They can also thank the corporate Democrats and Republicans, FOX News and all the climate change deniers. They can say thanks for having lied to us. We trusted you and now we have no one to bury our dead or care for our sick.
Within 3 months of these meltdowns no city within 150 to 200 miles will be able to be safely occupied again. The new American landscape will be defined by cholera and epidemics similar to the Middle Ages, polluted water, rotting corpses in the street and the stench of death in the air. Someone in Hollywood will think “what a great idea for a reality show”.
This is not science fiction; it’s the possibility of a worst case scenario. We are confronted with a decision: Do we put our trust and faith in the authorities as we did during Katrina? Or do we demand that the necessary precautions be taken at every nuclear plant and energy facility to safeguard against a total collapse? How is it that the Federal Reserve found $16 trillion of tax free money to give to Wall Street banks and other corporations but we don’t have the money to fix our aging power grids or establish emergency facilities in America’s cities and towns and put alternative clean energies in their place as is being done now in Japan and Germany?
The most reasonable approach would be to decommission all nuclear plants and put alternative clean energies in their place. This way, when a solar storm comes, if it is a catastrophic one, we will be better prepared to confront the challenges. Under such circumstances, a best case scenario will play out; it’s a minor event, our grids hold, the surge protectors keep the energy flowing, no one will die or be injured and no chaos will ensue- all because we chose to be honest and think about the future.
What is a Solar Storm?
Solar storms are generated by randomly-occurring enormous bursts of magnetic energy emitted by the sun. They have the potential to penetrate Earth’s magnetic field and disrupt the power grids, radio communications and satellite technology. Scientists representing agencies such as NASA inform us that we are currently experiencing a spike in solar activity characterized by stronger and more frequent solar storms. They expect that this activity will reach its peak during the next two years. There are two major phenomena associated with solar storms- solar flares and coronal mass ejections.
Solar flares are powerful bursts of radiation that occur in response to the buildup of magnetic energy around sunspots. These emissions occur at random intervals and produce a range of different electromagnetic waves including gamma, x-ray and radio. When directed at Earth, the radiation particles in solar flares directly affect the ionosphere and have the potential to interfere with radio equipment and navigation satellites.
Coronal mass ejections (CME) are enormous bubbles of magnetic plasma that are released from the outer atmosphere, or corona, of the sun. The plasma, also known as solar wind, is comprised of billions of tons of charged particles that travel through space at velocities close to the speed of light. The power of a strong coronal mass ejection can approach that of 1 billion hydrogen bombs. Coronal mass ejections are sometimes accompanied by solar flares but a definitive link between the two events has not been established. After leaving the sun’s atmosphere, it takes 20-30 hours for an Earth-directed CME to reach the atmosphere – an event that has the potential to trigger a geomagnetic storm resulting in electrical power outages and the disruption of satellite, television and radio communications.[1]
In 1859, the combined impact of a large solar flare and coronal mass ejection generated the largest recorded solar storm in the last 500 years during what has become known as the Carrington Event. The Carrington solar storm rendered telegraph systems worldwide inoperable and caused sparks to jump from communication equipment.[2] On March 13, 1989, another geomagnetic solar storm wreaked havoc with power grids in the Canadian province of Quebec and beyond, leaving 6 million people without power for nine hours. Large power transformers located in New Jersey even melted due to the influx of radiation. [3] Over the course of a few hours, the relatively small flare had resulted in hundreds of millions of dollars in damage. [4]
2013- Things are Heating Up
As we approach mid-winter in the Northern Hemisphere, concern over the sun’s activity has grown as a number of sizeable flares have been observed in recent months. On January 13, 2013, NASA’s Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded an earth-directed CME emerge from a sunspot known as AR11654.[5] The CME fell into the M1-class, just one notch below the largest X-class category and NASA officials explained that the outburst reached speeds of 275 miles per second.[6] A few months earlier on October 22, 2012, an X-class solar flare erupted on the surface of the sun.[7] While the flare was not directed at Earth, it still resulted in a brief blackout of high frequency radio signals.[8] This flare represents the fifteenth X-class flare discharged from the sun during the current solar cycle, which began in early 2011.
Over the course of 6 days beginning in late June 2012, NASA recorded 12 M-class (medium sized) flares. On the heels of this string of eruptions was an even larger X-class solar flare on Friday, July 6th, which disrupted radio signals worldwide. The collection of sunspots generating these massive outbursts – referred to as AR1515- spans an incredible 118,681 miles across the surface of the sun. In terrestrial terms, the width of the sunspot group is larger than 15 Earths set next to each other. The potential for more strong activity from these sunspots is very real. In an interview with SPACE.com, NASA solar astrophysicist C. Alex Young stated that threat of a CME coming from AR1515- one that could wreak havoc with the electric grid- is not to be dismissed.[9]
Despite diligent monitoring of the sun’s surface by scientists the world over, the event highlighted how inaccurate our best projections of solar flares can be. Only hours before the X-class emission, the government’s Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) issued a statement explaining that “the bulk of activity is coming from Region 1515, a moderate-sized active region with a magnetic field complexity that harbors an isolated chance of X-class flare activity.”[10]
What is for certain is that we’re in the midst of one of the most active solar periods we’ve witnessed in years. In April 16th, 2012 NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory captured an awe-inspiring M-class solar flare.[11] While the flare was not directed at earth, the widely-reported event signaled that a particularly active area of the sun is rotating to a point where such solar emissions will be facing Earth more directly.[12]
Concern from Scientists and Emergency Officials
Growing numbers of individuals representing the scientific community as well as emergency management authorities are voicing their concerns over the potentially devastating results that a significant solar storm would have today.
In an interview with Gary Null on the Progressive Radio Network on January 11th, 2013, Dr. Robert M. Schoch, a Yale-educated geophysicist and professor of geology at the College of General Studies at Boston University, discussed the strong scientific evidence suggesting that the sun is building up to an especially volatile point in a cycle that occurs only every 10,000-12,000 years.[13] He commented that we are likely entering a period of “extreme activity” on the sun, “which can have incredible effects on Earth and the surface of the Earth and organisms living on…the surface of the Earth.”[14] According to Schoch, the increase in CMEs and solar proton events will hasten climate change patterns on the planet, speeding up the melting of glaciers at high latitudes and increasing volcanic and seismic activity, for example. Speaking about the lack of media attention given to solar storms, Schoch mentioned that the American press tends to keep “everyone happy and docile and uninformed” to avoid inciting panic among the public.[15]
At a meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in the winter of 2011, leading scientific authorities representing NASA and the NOAA warned that a solar storm directed at our planet could bring about a “global Katrina” costing the world economy 2 trillion dollars.[16] The participants urged preparation for solar storms noting an uptick in solar activity over the last year – a trend that they predict will peak in 2013. The group of scientists emphasized that our modern technology, increasingly dependent on satellites, is far more vulnerable to geomagnetic storms than even a decade ago.[17] A disruption to our satellites would prevent people from engaging in daily activities such as carrying out credit card transactions, utilizing cell phones and accessing the internet.
In April 2012, around 100 emergency officials gathered in Melbourne, Florida to discuss the potential impact of solar storms in the state. The overall message of the meeting was that Florida, along with the rest of the United States, remains largely vulnerable to an intense solar storm.[18] The keynote speaker at the event was William Bryan, deputy assistant secretary at the United States Department of Energy, who remarked to the group that “We know it’s going to happen. We just don’t know when. How big will this event be? We don’t know that.”[19]
A discovery by NASA scientists in 2008 suggested that Earth’s power grid is even more vulnerable to space weather than previously thought. Much to their surprise, NASA scientists found an enormous hole- four times the size of the Earth- in our planet’s magnetic field. Five NASA satellites recorded the density of the breach in the magnetic field at 90% less than the norm. This discovery suggests that Earth’s power grid is even more susceptible to incoming solar flares and coronal mass ejections. In an interview with NASA science news, Jimmy Raeder, a physics professor at the University of New Hampshire stated that this breach in the magnetic field allows for “the perfect sequence for a really big event.”[20] 2008 also saw the publication of a report by the National Research Council which concluded that Earth-directed solar activity on the scale of the Carrington event could result in serious, far-reaching outages worldwide.[21]
Speaking with National Geographic News, Daniel Baker of the University of Colorado’s Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics said that a powerful solar storm could effectively leave entire cities without power for months or even years.[22] He noted that the large transformers that would likely be blown out during a solar storm are in short supply – a fact that could lead to serious complications when trying to restore power. Baker is just one among a growing chorus of researchers in the field of astrophysics who have gone on the record stating that a solar storm on the scale of the 1859 Carrington event would dramatically compromise our global communications systems and fry electrical power systems.
Richard Lordan, senior technical executive for power delivery and utilization at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), was more optimistic in his assessment of the electrical grid’s defenses during a coronal mass ejection. In a phone interview, Lordan stated that the modern power grid is highly interconnected and built with redundancies that protect against failure. Commenting on EPRIs research into the possibility of America experiencing large scale blackouts caused by space weather, he stated that “we have not found that kind of vulnerability”. Still, Lordan conceded that the nature of geomagnetic disturbances can be unpredictable and that “it’s not reconciled how these transformers will respond” in the event of a major solar storm.
In an interview on the Progressive Radio Network, investigative journalist Lawrence Joseph spoke about a report from the National Academy of Sciences and NASA that was published in December 2008. The report concluded that a coronal mass ejection could leave 100-130 million people without electricity in North America alone.[23] Such a lapse in access to electricity would deprive people of access to gasoline and refrigeration as well as severely curtail the operations of law enforcement and the military. The consequences of an event would be profound as millions of people would have very limited or no access food and water. In addition, it would halt the operation of power plants that require electricity to run – this includes coal, gas, oil and nuclear plants.[24]
The Nuclear Energy-Solar Storm Problem
One of the most immediate concerns in the event of a solar storm knocking out the electric grid is preventing the meltdown of nuclear reactors. Nuclear plants function through the process of nuclear fission. This process utilizes radioactive material such as uranium to boil water at very high temperatures; this is turn creates steam to power turbines that generate electric power. All the while, a constant stream of coolants is introduced via electric pumps to prevent the radioactive fuel from overheating and melting the fuel rods. In most nuclear reactors, the pumps run on power from electric grids and are not self-sustaining. Consequently, if the electric grid were to fail during a solar event, the cooling system in nuclear plants would be unable to function.
In such an emergency, nuclear power facilities will use backup generators and batteries to power the electric pumps. In most nuclear plants, the batteries last about 8 hours while the generators, fueled by diesel, will keep the system operational for approximately 72 hours.[25] If the electric power grid is still not restored after the contingency power sources have been exhausted, a nuclear meltdown will occur. To safely shutdown a nuclear reactor requires months of circulating coolant through the system.
As it stands, virtually every one of the approximately 700 nuclear reactors worldwide would be unable to execute a proper cool shutdown if the electric grid were to fail. A 2010 report set forth by Oak Ridge National Laboratory stated that among the 104 nuclear reactors in the United States, 71 are found in areas where power collapse would likely occur in the event of a solar storm.[26] Given the available data, it is not unreasonable to suggest that a considerable solar storm could trigger a series of devastating nuclear meltdowns across the world.
The destructive nature of nuclear meltdowns was put on full display earlier this year after an 8.9 magnitude earthquake the stuck Japan on March 11. Nuclear and medical experts predict that the large quantities of radiation unleashed during the accident at Fukushima will result in untold harm to human health for generations.[27] Reactor 3 at Fukushima, which was breached during the earthquake, contained plutonium – one of the most deadly nuclear contaminants known to man. If even a tiny grain of plutonium is breathed in, it will cause so much damage to body tissues that cancer is a near certainty.[28] Japan’s Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency reported in August that the amount of cesium-137 that has leaked from the plant so far is 168 times greater than what was released during the dropping of the atomic bomb on Hiroshima in 1945.[29] The amount of Iodine -131, a radioactive isotope that has very damaging effects on the thyroid gland, was also found to be 2.5 times greater than what was measured after the Hiroshima bomb.[30] These statistics are a sobering reminder that the tragedy of the Fukushima meltdown will become even more evident in the months and years to come. The people who were and still are exposed to high levels of ionizing radiation emitted in the aftermath of the quake are almost certain to develop cancers and a host of other health issues related to the harmful nuclear fallout.
A report released by Russia’s Federal Atomic Energy Agency in the fall of 2011 reveals that the government has issued “emergency notices” to the directors of the country’s nuclear power plants regarding the potential impact of solar storms. The agency’s missive warns that space weather has the potential to cause “massive blackouts” and “spontaneous atomic explosions” and mentions that the “worst events” are still to come.[31] The notice also references the need to prepare, especially considering the significant solar-induced blackouts that recently plunged large parts of Chile into darkness for many hours.[32]
Our Vulnerable Power Grid
A central challenge in preparing for solar storms is the protection of extra-high-voltage (EHV) transformers. Around a third of the electric power generated in the United States comes from 350 immense, 100 ton, transformers positioned at power substations across the country. In general, the higher the voltage running through transformers, the more vulnerable they are to power surges induced by an electromagnetic storm. The models utilized in the United States today transmit voltages in the extra-high range – up to 765kV.[33] Roughly 80% of Americans’ power grids are reliant on 500kV and 765Kv transformers.[34] Only China possesses transformers that support higher voltages- some of which can reach 1,000kV.[35]
There is currently a six month- two year waiting list to purchase replacements for these electric transformers which are manufactured in China and India.[36] EPRI’s Lordan put the cost of these transformers on the global market at $5 to $10 million. According to Laurence Hecht of the publication 21st Century Science & Technology . “only one plant exists in the U.S.A. capable of manufacturing a transformer up to 345 kV. There is no manufacturing capability in the U.S.A. for 500 kV and 765 kV transformers.”[37] Due to their size and complex nature, extra high voltage transformers are very difficult to repair and almost always require replacements. About half of all the transformers that are made break down during testing or prematurely malfunction after installation.[38] Speaking to the Progressive Radio Network, Lordan also noted that the installation of these transformers is a lengthy process which takes about a month to complete.
Preparing for Grid Failure
Despite attempts by some members of Congress to protect our electric grids against solar storms, lawmakers have been remarkably reluctant to address this matter in a meaningful way. In June 2010, the House of Representatives’ voted unanimously in favor of the Grid Reliability and Infrastructure Defense Act, or HR-5026, which was aimed at taking steps to protect the United States power grids from solar storms . Later last year when it was introduced in the Senate, the bill was stripped of all references to protecting the power grids. House member Roscoe Bartlett of Maryland commented on the inaction by the Senate saying:
“While one part of the federal government was warning us of possible solar electromagnetic-pulse damage to our electric grid, a key Senate commission approved a bill to ignore this threat” [39]
Even the steps taken by utility companies to protect electric infrastructure appear to be disproportionate to the stern warnings set forth by officials in the scientific community. Southern Company, a utility provider to nearly 4.5 million customers in the Southern United States, stated in an email that “Southern Company does not anticipate transmission issues on our system from the solar flares/geomagnetic disturbances” but went on to say that the company is working with the Electric Power Research Institute and the North American Electric Reliability Corporation on studies to better understand the effects of solar activity on the power grid.
Finding a Solution to the Threat of Solar Storms
Steps are being taken by concerned citizens and various organizations to help avert serious issues arising from solar activity. In preparation for difficulties with the electric grid associated with space weather, the Department of Homeland Security is funding the Electric Power Research Institute to develop a modular replacement transformer that will be tested in the field next year. Several other innovators are pioneering technologies that would allow alternating currents to flow on cable lines while canceling out the effects of power surges from space weather. Many of these projects are still in the conceptual stages and would require more funding and support before they can be tested and implemented.
A major focus for energy authorities tackling this issue is perfecting methods to monitor data on geomagnetic fluctuations along with changes in the power grid in real time. By measuring variables that could signal an approaching coronal mass ejection or solar flare, utility operators would be better prepared to protect the electric grid in the immediate lead-up to a geomagnetic disturbance: In an article Solar Max appearing in the Electric Power Research Institute’s 2011 spring journal, David Boutacoff outlines several of these protective measures:
- Monitor system voltages to anticipate the impact of increased reactive power consumption
- Maximize reserves for additional reactive power support or added load
- Stop scheduled maintenance in order to maximize asset availability in case a portion of the system should fail
- Add restraint to capacitor trip circuits
- Reduce loadings on susceptible transformers
- Reduce power transfers
Other suggestions from EPRI that could be done today to bolster the defenses of transformers but have yet to be implemented on a large scale include “polarizing cells in series with the neutral, series compensation on the line and even active cancellation of the currents”.[40]
Another viable measure that could be taken to curb the effects of solar storms on our power grid is the installation supplemental neutral resistors. According to the Metatech corporation, a California-based company specializing in research into the effects of electromagnetic activity, these resistors would reduce the impact of electromagnetically induced electric power surges by 60-70%. [41] A congressional estimate from 2001 placed the cost of installing of this equipment, or “hardening” power grids at $150 million.[42]
Regarding nuclear reactors running on electric power, there are actions that can be taken to avoid a nuclear meltdown in the wake of a geomagnetic storm. One measure that could significantly decrease the threat of a meltdown is for each nuclear facility to stockpile sufficient amounts of diesel or propane fuel and backup generator parts that will allow for a secure cool shutdown of the plant over the course of several months. Since a solar storm could radically hamper the transportation of fuel and replacement parts for generators, it is imperative that at least a year’s worth of materials be stored on-site in case of an emergency. Shortly after the Fukushima disaster, Thomas Popik of the energy watchdog group Resilient Societies began petitioning the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission to provide permanent backup energy provisions for the safety pumps at our nuclear facilities. More information on the progress of the NRC petitions by Resilient Societies can be found at http://www.resilientsocieties.org/.
An additional safeguard against meltdowns is the installation of a closed loop system wherein the electricity produced by the nuclear reactor is used to sustain the pumps that power the cooling system. This would ensure that the plant continued to function independent of the electric grid and make an emergency shutdown unnecessary. Several ongoing international projects are developing this technology. A current joint venture between Russian and Italian scientists is aimed at creating a self-sustaining nuclear reactor known as Ignitor.[43]
Despite the fact that the implementation of these preventative measures might prove expensive, the alternative would be far more costly, both financially and in terms of human life. We face many obstacles in preparing our energy infrastructure for the inevitable effects of solar flares and coronal mass ejections. The time for preparation grows short, and while certain government agencies and interest groups have taken preliminary steps towards pre-emptive action and advocated preparedness, their efforts are simply not enough. We must steadfastly demand that real action be taken by our energy officials to mitigate the impact that solar storms will have on humanity. If we don’t act now, we will be forced to face the consequences of what could amount to an earth-shattering global Katrina.
Endnotes
[1] Wall, Mike. “Solar flares can pack a powerful double burst – Technology & science – Space – Space.com – msnbc.com.”msnbc.com . N.p., 7 Sept. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44432611/ns/technology_and_science-space/t/solar-flares-can-pack-powerful-double-burst/>.
[2] Bell, Trudy, and Tony Phillips. “NASA Science News.”NASA.gov. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2008/06may_carringtonflar
[3] Ibid
[4] “NASA Science News.”NASA.gov. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2003/23oct_superstorm/>
SPACE.com. staff “Sun Eruption To Boost Northern Lights This Week, NASA Says.”The Huffington Post. N.p., 15 Jan. 2013. Web. 17 Jan. 2013. <www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/01/15/sun-eruption-northern-lights-_n_2478246.html>.
[6] Ibid
[7] Samenow, Jason. “Sun unleashes intense X-class flare; active sunspot region rotating towards Earth – Capital Weather Gang – The Washington Post.”Washington Post: Breaking News, World, US, DC News & Analysis. N.p., 23 Oct. 2012. Web. 24 Oct. 2012. <http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/sun-unleashes-intense-x-class-flare-active-sunspot-region-rotating-towards-earth/2012/10/23/a30cb7f4-1d39-11e2-9cd5-b55c38388962_blog.html>
[8] Ibid
[9] “NASA Science News.”NASA.gov. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2003/23oct_superstorm/>
[10] Malik, Tariq. “Sun erupts with strongest summer solar flare yet | Fox News.” Fox News. http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2012/07/09/sun-erupts-with-strongest-summer-solar-flare-yet/ (accessed July 12, 2012).
[11] Gayle, Damien. “solar storm florida – Google Search.” www.dailymail.co.uk. http://www.google.com/search?sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8&q=solar+storm+florida (accessed April 19, 2012).
[12] Atkinson, Nancy. “Big Blast from the Sun.” Universe Today . http://www.universetoday.com/94633/big-blast-from-the-sun/ (accessed April 19, 2012).
[13] The Gary Null Show. Progressive Radio Network. 11 Jan. 2013. Radio.
[14] Ibid
[15] Ibid
[16] Cookson, Clive . ” Scientists warn of $2,000bn solar ‘Katrina’.” Financial Times. N.p., 20 Feb. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/67444b2c-3d13-11e0-bbff-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1ZptSAhaZ
[17] Ibid
[18] Waymer, Jim. “FloridaToday.com.” Who’s ready for a solar super storm? Not us, emergency officials warn. www.floridatoday.com/article/20120418/NEWS01/304180012/Who-s-ready-solar-super-storm-Not-us-emergency-officials-warn (accessed April 19, 2012).
[19] Ibid
[20] Phillips, Tony. “Giant Breach in Earth’s Magnetic Field Discovered .” NASA Science News. N.p., n.d. Web. 5 Oct. 2011. <http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2008/16dec_giantbreach/
[21] “Severe Space Weather Events–Understanding Societal and Economic Impacts: A Workshop Report.” The National Academies Press. N.p., n.d. Web. 24 Oct. 2012. <http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=12507>.
[22] Lovett, Richard. “What If the Biggest Solar Storm on Record Happened Today?.” National Geographic News. N.p., 2 Mar. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2011/03/110302-solar-flares-sun-storms-earth-danger-carrington-event-science/>.
[23] May 24th, 2011.” The Gary Null Show. Progressive Radio Network. 24 May 2011. Radio.
[24] Ibid
[25] Cappiello, Dina. “Long Blackouts Pose Risk To U.S. Nuclear Reactors.” The Huffington Post. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/29/blackout-risk-us-nuclear-reactors_n_841869.html>.
[26] Kappenman, John. “Geomagnetic Storms and Their Impacts on the U.S. Power Grid.” ORNL.gov. N.p., n.d. Web. 17 Oct. 2012. <www.ornl.gov/sci/ees/etsd/pes/pubs/ferc_Meta-R-319.pdf>.
[27] Knocking on The Devils Door. Dir. Gary Null. Perf. Harvey Wasserman. Gary Null & Associates, 2011. DVD.
[28] Ibid
[29] “Fukushima caesium leaks ‘equal 168 Hiroshimas’ – Telegraph.” Telegraph.co.uk. N.p., 25 Aug. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/japan/8722400/Fukushima-caesium-leaks-equal-168-Hiroshimas.html>.
[30] “Fukushima radiation 168 times that of Hiroshima atomic bomb / World / Home – Morning Star.” Morning Star. N.p., 28 Aug. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/news/content/view/full/108783>
[31] “Super Sun Blast Fears Put Russian Nuke Plants In Lockdown | EUTimes.net.” The European Union Times . N.p., 25 Sept. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.eutimes.net/2011/09/super-sun-blast-fears-put-russian-nuke-plants-in-lockdown/>.
[32] Ibid
[33] Joseph, Lawrence E. “Lawrence E. Joseph: The Solar ‘Katrina’ Storm That Could Take Our Power Grid Out For Years.” The Huffington Post. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.huffingtonpost.com/lawrence-e-joseph/the-solar-katrina-storm-t_b_641354.html>.
[34] Hecht, Laurence. “The Solar Storm Threat to America’s Power Grid.”21stcenturysciencetech.com. N.p., 13 June 2011. Web. 3 Oct. 2011. <www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles_2011/Solar_Storm_Threat.pdf>
[35] Ibid
[36] “America’s Energy Future: Technology and Transformation.” The National Academies Press. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12091&page=574>.
[37] Hecht, Laurence. “The Solar Storm Threat to America’s Power Grid.”21stcenturysciencetech.com. N.p., 13 June 2011. Web. 3 Oct. 2011. <www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles_2011/Solar_Storm_Threat.pdf>
[38] Joseph, Lawrence E. “Lawrence E. Joseph: The Solar ‘Katrina’ Storm That Could Take Our Power Grid Out For Years.” The Huffington Post. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.huffingtonpost.com/lawrence-e-joseph/the-solar-katrina-storm-t_b_641354.html>.
[39] “Bill Amended to Delete Threat to Electric Grid During Federal Government Alert of Solar Storm.” Representative Roscoe Bartlett. N.p., 5 Aug. 2010. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://bartlett.house.gov/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=202311>.
[40] Boutacoff, David. “Solar Max.”EPRI Journal Spring 2011 (2011): n. pag. Epri.com. Web. 3 Oct. 2011.
[41] Hecht, Laurence. “The Solar Storm Threat to America’s Power Grid.”21stcenturysciencetech.com. N.p., 13 June 2011. Web. 3 Oct. 2011. <www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles_2011/Solar_Storm_Threat.pdf>
[42] Ibid
[43] McKenna, Phil. “Nuclear Reactor Aims for Self-Sustaining Fusion – Technology Review.”Technology Review. N.p., 25 May 2010. Web. 5 Oct. 2011. http://www.technologyreview./energy/25379/
[1] Wall, Mike. “Solar flares can pack a powerful double burst – Technology & science – Space – Space.com – msnbc.com.”msnbc.com . N.p., 7 Sept. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44432611/ns/technology_and_science-space/t/solar-flares-can-pack-powerful-double-burst/>.
[1] Bell, Trudy, and Tony Phillips. “NASA Science News.”NASA.gov. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2008/06may_carringtonflar
[1] Ibid
[1] “NASA Science News.”NASA.gov. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2003/23oct_superstorm/>
SPACE.com. staff “Sun Eruption To Boost Northern Lights This Week, NASA Says.”The Huffington Post. N.p., 15 Jan. 2013. Web. 17 Jan. 2013. <www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/01/15/sun-eruption-northern-lights-_n_2478246.html>.
[1] Ibid
[1] Samenow, Jason. “Sun unleashes intense X-class flare; active sunspot region rotating towards Earth – Capital Weather Gang – The Washington Post.”Washington Post: Breaking News, World, US, DC News & Analysis. N.p., 23 Oct. 2012. Web. 24 Oct. 2012. <http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/sun-unleashes-intense-x-class-flare-active-sunspot-region-rotating-towards-earth/2012/10/23/a30cb7f4-1d39-11e2-9cd5-b55c38388962_blog.html>
[1] Ibid
[1] “NASA Science News.”NASA.gov. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2003/23oct_superstorm/>
[1] Malik, Tariq. “Sun erupts with strongest summer solar flare yet | Fox News.” Fox News. http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2012/07/09/sun-erupts-with-strongest-summer-solar-flare-yet/ (accessed July 12, 2012).
[1] Gayle, Damien. “solar storm florida – Google Search.” www.dailymail.co.uk. http://www.google.com/search?sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8&q=solar+storm+florida (accessed April 19, 2012).
[1] Atkinson, Nancy. “Big Blast from the Sun.” Universe Today . http://www.universetoday.com/94633/big-blast-from-the-sun/ (accessed April 19, 2012).
[1] The Gary Null Show. Progressive Radio Network. 11 Jan. 2013. Radio.
[1] Ibid
[1] Ibid
[1] Cookson, Clive . ” Scientists warn of $2,000bn solar ‘Katrina’.” Financial Times. N.p., 20 Feb. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/67444b2c-3d13-11e0-bbff-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1ZptSAhaZ
[1] Ibid
[1] Waymer, Jim. “FloridaToday.com.” Who’s ready for a solar super storm? Not us, emergency officials warn. www.floridatoday.com/article/20120418/NEWS01/304180012/Who-s-ready-solar-super-storm-Not-us-emergency-officials-warn (accessed April 19, 2012).
[1] Ibid
[1] Phillips, Tony. “Giant Breach in Earth’s Magnetic Field Discovered .” NASA Science News. N.p., n.d. Web. 5 Oct. 2011. <http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2008/16dec_giantbreach/
[1] “Severe Space Weather Events–Understanding Societal and Economic Impacts: A Workshop Report.” The National Academies Press. N.p., n.d. Web. 24 Oct. 2012. <http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=12507>.
[1] Lovett, Richard. “What If the Biggest Solar Storm on Record Happened Today?.” National Geographic News. N.p., 2 Mar. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2011/03/110302-solar-flares-sun-storms-earth-danger-carrington-event-science/>.
[1] May 24th, 2011.” The Gary Null Show. Progressive Radio Network. 24 May 2011. Radio.
[1] Ibid
[1] Cappiello, Dina. “Long Blackouts Pose Risk To U.S. Nuclear Reactors.” The Huffington Post. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/29/blackout-risk-us-nuclear-reactors_n_841869.html>.
[1] Kappenman, John. “Geomagnetic Storms and Their Impacts on the U.S. Power Grid.” ORNL.gov. N.p., n.d. Web. 17 Oct. 2012. <www.ornl.gov/sci/ees/etsd/pes/pubs/ferc_Meta-R-319.pdf>.
[1] Knocking on The Devils Door. Dir. Gary Null. Perf. Harvey Wasserman. Gary Null & Associates, 2011. DVD.
[1] Ibid
[1] “Fukushima caesium leaks ‘equal 168 Hiroshimas’ – Telegraph.” Telegraph.co.uk. N.p., 25 Aug. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/japan/8722400/Fukushima-caesium-leaks-equal-168-Hiroshimas.html>.
[1] “Fukushima radiation 168 times that of Hiroshima atomic bomb / World / Home – Morning Star.” Morning Star. N.p., 28 Aug. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/news/content/view/full/108783>
[1] “Super Sun Blast Fears Put Russian Nuke Plants In Lockdown | EUTimes.net.” The European Union Times . N.p., 25 Sept. 2011. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.eutimes.net/2011/09/super-sun-blast-fears-put-russian-nuke-plants-in-lockdown/>.
[1] Ibid
[1] Joseph, Lawrence E. “Lawrence E. Joseph: The Solar ‘Katrina’ Storm That Could Take Our Power Grid Out For Years.” The Huffington Post. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.huffingtonpost.com/lawrence-e-joseph/the-solar-katrina-storm-t_b_641354.html>.
[1] Hecht, Laurence. “The Solar Storm Threat to America’s Power Grid.”21stcenturysciencetech.com. N.p., 13 June 2011. Web. 3 Oct. 2011. <www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles_2011/Solar_Storm_Threat.pdf>
[1] Ibid
[1] “America’s Energy Future: Technology and Transformation.” The National Academies Press. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12091&page=574>.
[1] Hecht, Laurence. “The Solar Storm Threat to America’s Power Grid.”21stcenturysciencetech.com. N.p., 13 June 2011. Web. 3 Oct. 2011. <www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles_2011/Solar_Storm_Threat.pdf>
[1] Joseph, Lawrence E. “Lawrence E. Joseph: The Solar ‘Katrina’ Storm That Could Take Our Power Grid Out For Years.” The Huffington Post. N.p., n.d. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://www.huffingtonpost.com/lawrence-e-joseph/the-solar-katrina-storm-t_b_641354.html>.
[1] “Bill Amended to Delete Threat to Electric Grid During Federal Government Alert of Solar Storm.” Representative Roscoe Bartlett. N.p., 5 Aug. 2010. Web. 4 Oct. 2011. <http://bartlett.house.gov/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=202311>.
[1] Boutacoff, David. “Solar Max.”EPRI Journal Spring 2011 (2011): n. pag. Epri.com. Web. 3 Oct. 2011.
[1] Hecht, Laurence. “The Solar Storm Threat to America’s Power Grid.”21stcenturysciencetech.com. N.p., 13 June 2011. Web. 3 Oct. 2011. <www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles_2011/Solar_Storm_Threat.pdf>
[1] Ibid
[1] McKenna, Phil. “Nuclear Reactor Aims for Self-Sustaining Fusion – Technology Review.”Technology Review. N.p., 25 May 2010. Web. 5 Oct. 2011. http://www.technologyreview./energy/25379/